Ray Kruzweil has predicted ‘human-level’ AI by 2029. The BBC article is here:
Machines ‘to match man by 2029′
I’m not an AI skeptic - I wouldn’t be in this specialization if I were - but I get really sick of these predictions. My father tells a (possibly) apocryphal story of sitting in Marvin Minsky’s course back in 1955 (or so). Minsky gets up, hammers his first on the podium, and announces “we’ll have artificially intelligent machines within 5 years!” Sometime in the middle 80’s, Minsky was interviewed by Parade magazine (or some other such tabloid) and he was quoted as saying “we’ll have artificially intelligent machines within 5 years!” While I understand the need for popular outreach (I’ve written for Philosophy and the Grateful Dead, for goodness sakes) for both pedagogy and funding, I wish that our ’spokespeople’ would be more careful.
2 responses so far ↓
1 Peter Bradley // Apr 8, 2008 at 7:19 pm
In an interview with ‘The Inquirer’, John McCarthy (http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/) said - in response to Kurzweil “If I live to be 102 and am still capable of laughing I expect to laugh at him then.”
(http://www.theinquirer.net/gb/inquirer/news/2008/04/06/john-mccarthy)
2 Peter Bradley // Jul 19, 2008 at 7:23 am
Here’s a few more:
The Future is Now, Pretty Soon, At Least - NY Times
And a rejoinder:
Artificial intelligence: God help us if machines ever think like people- The Guardian
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